Oscar Predictions – Best Director

Here are the NBP staff predictions for Best Actress. For an overview of all awards predictions, visit our Oscar Predictions page.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:


NBP Staff Picks

Matt Neglia
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
3Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
4Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)▲ 3
5Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
6Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
7Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)â–² 1
8Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)▲ 1
9Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)NEW
10Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)


 
 

Last Updated:
9/18/2025 10:35 AM


 
 

Dan Bayer
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–² 8
2Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
3Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
4Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
5Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)â–² 2
6Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
7Kathryn Bigelow (A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE)â–¼ 2
8Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
9Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)NEW
10Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)


 
 

Last Updated:
9/10/2025 1:50 AM


 
 

Alyssa Christian
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
3Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
4Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
5Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
6Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)â–² 1
7Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)â–² 3
8Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)â–² 1
9Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)NEW
10James Cameron (AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH)NEW


 
 

Last Updated:
9/16/2025 5:06 PM


 
 

Sara Clements
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)NEW
2Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)â–² 2
3Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)NEW
4Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)NEW
5Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)â–² 1
6Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)NEW
7Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)▲ 3
8Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)â–¼ 1
9Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)â–¼ 1
10Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)â–¼ 5


 
 

Last Updated:
9/22/2025 11:21 PM


 
 

Nadia Dalimonte
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–² 4
2Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)â–¼ 1
3Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)▲ 5
4Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)â–¼ 2
5Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)â–² 1
6Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)â–² 1
7Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)â–¼ 3
8Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)NEW
9Kathryn Bigelow (A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE)
10Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)NEW


 
 

Last Updated:
9/19/2025 12:51 PM


 
 

Cody Dericks
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
3Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
4Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
5Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
6Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)
7Kathryn Bigelow (A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE)
8Kaouther Ben Hania (THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB)â–² 1
9Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)NEW
10Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)


 
 

Last Updated:
9/18/2025 5:51 PM


 
 

Daniel Howat
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–² 3
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)▲ 3
3Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
4Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)â–² 3
5Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)â–¼ 3
6Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)â–¼ 5
7Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)â–¼ 1
8Scott Cooper (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)
9Kathryn Bigelow (A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE)
10Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)


 
 

Last Updated:
9/17/2025 2:35 PM


 
 

Megan Lachinski
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)NEW
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
3Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
4Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
5Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
6Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)
7Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)
8Kathryn Bigelow (A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE)
9Luca Guadagnino (AFTER THE HUNT)â–¼ 8
10Mona Fastvold (THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE)


 
 

Last Updated:
9/10/2025 12:51 AM


 
 

Giovanni Lago
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–² 6
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)▲ 2
3Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)â–¼ 2
4Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)â–¼ 1
5Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
6Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)
7Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)â–² 1
8Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)â–² 1
9Kathryn Bigelow (A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE)NEW
10Scott Cooper (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)NEW


 
 

Last Updated:
9/11/2025 10:06 PM


 
 

Will Mavity
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
3Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
4Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
5Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
6Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)â–² 1
7Kathryn Bigelow (A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE)â–¼ 1
8Yorgos Lanthimos (BUGONIA)
9Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)
10Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)


 
 

Last Updated:
9/16/2025 11:21 PM


 
 

Tom O'Brien
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–² 1
2Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)â–¼ 1
3Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
4Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
5Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
6Kathryn Bigelow (A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE)
7Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)
8Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
9Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
10Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)


 
 

Last Updated:
9/22/2025 8:35 AM


 
 

Josh Parham
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–² 3
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)▲ 3
3Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)â–¼ 1
4Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)â–¼ 1
5Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)â–² 2
6Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)â–¼ 5
7Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)â–² 2
8Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)â–¼ 2
9Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)▼ 1
10Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)


 
 

Last Updated:
9/17/2025 4:36 PM


 
 

Joselyn Safadi
1Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)▲ 4
3Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)â–² 4
4Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
5Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
6Luca Guadagnino (AFTER THE HUNT)â–¼ 4
7Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)â–¼ 4
8Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
9Kathryn Bigelow (A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE)
10Yorgos Lanthimos (BUGONIA)


 
 

Last Updated:
9/5/2025 2:36 PM


 
 

Ema Sasic
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
3Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
4Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
5Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
6Kathryn Bigelow (A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE)
7Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
8Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
9Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)NEW
10Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)


 
 

Last Updated:
9/14/2025 11:51 AM