Oscar Predictions

Here are the 2025 Oscar Predictions from the NBP staff! Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 98th Annual Academy Awards.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:

Best Picture

RankChange
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
2SINNERS
3HAMNET
4SENTIMENTAL VALUE
5MARTY SUPREME
6JAY KELLY
7WICKED: FOR GOOD
8IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT
9SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE
10AFTER THE HUNTNEW


 
 
Last Updated
9/24/2025 at 4:36PM EST


 
 

Best Director

RankChange
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
3Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
4Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
5Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
6Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
7Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)
8Kathryn Bigelow (A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE)
9Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)NEW
10Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)


 
 
Last Updated
9/22/2025 at 11:21PM EST


 
 

Best Actress

RankChange
1Jessie Buckley (HAMNET)
2Renate Reinsve (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
3Cynthia Erivo (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
4Julia Roberts (AFTER THE HUNT)
5Rose Byrne (IF I HAD LEGS I'D KICK YOU)â–² 1
6Amanda Seyfried (THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE)â–¼ 1
7Emma Stone (BUGONIA)
8Tessa Thompson (HEDDA)
9Jennifer Lawrence (DIE, MY LOVE)
10June Squibb (ELEANOR THE GREAT)


 
 
Last Updated
9/24/2025 at 4:36PM EST


 
 

Best Actor

RankChange
1Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
2Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)
3Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
4George Clooney (JAY KELLY)
5Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)
6Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE)â–² 1
7Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)â–¼ 1
8Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE)
9Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)
10Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS)


 
 
Last Updated
9/22/2025 at 11:21PM EST


 
 

Best Supporting Actress

RankChange
1Ariana Grande (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
2Elle Fanning (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
3Teyana Taylor (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
4Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)â–² 1
5Gwyneth Paltrow (MARTY SUPREME)â–¼ 1
6Emily Blunt (THE SMASHING MACHINE)
7Chase Infiniti (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
8Kate Hudson (SONG SUNG BLUE)
9Jennifer Lopez (KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN)
10Amy Madigan (WEAPONS)


 
 
Last Updated
9/25/2025 at 3:06AM EST


 
 

Best Supporting Actor

RankChange
1Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
2Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY)
3Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
4Paul Mescal (HAMNET)â–² 1
5Jeremy Strong (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)â–¼ 1
6Delroy Lindo (SINNERS)
7Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN)
8Jonathan Bailey (WICKED: FOR GOOD)â–² 1
9Andrew Garfield (AFTER THE HUNT)â–¼ 1
10Stephen Graham (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)


 
 
Last Updated
9/25/2025 at 3:36PM EST


 
 

Best Adapted Screenplay

RankChange
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson)
2HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao)
3WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson)
4BUGONIA (Will Tracy)
5SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE (Scott Cooper)
6TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar)
7NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar)
8WICKED: FOR GOOD (Dana Fox & Winnie Holzman)â–² 1
9FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro)â–¼ 1
10HEDDA (Nia DaCosta)


 
 
Last Updated
9/22/2025 at 11:21PM EST


 
 

Best Original Screenplay

RankChange
1SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
2SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
3MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
4JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
5IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)
6SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)
7A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE (Noah Oppenheim)â–² 1
8RENTAL FAMILY (Stephen Blahut & Hikari)â–¼ 1
9BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow)â–² 1
10AFTER THE HUNT (Nora Garrett)â–¼ 1


 
 
Last Updated
8/30/2025 at 7:06AM EST


 
 

Best Animated Feature

RankChange
1ZOOTOPIA 2
2KPOP DEMON HUNTERS
3ARCO
4SCARLET
5ELIO
6NE ZHA 2
7LITTLE AMÉLIE OR THE CHARACTER OF RAIN▲ 1
8IN YOUR DREAMSâ–¼ 1
9THE BAD GUYS 2
10A MAGNIFICENT LIFE


 
 
Last Updated
9/22/2025 at 11:21PM EST


 
 

Best Documentary Feature

RankChange
1THE PERFECT NEIGHBOR
22000 METERS TO ANDRIIVKA
3APOCALYPSE IN THE TROPICS
4SEEDS
5THE ALABAMA SOLUTION
6COVER-UP
7ORWELL 2+2=5
8THE LIBRARIANS
9THE EYES OF GHANAâ–² 1
10MR. NOBODY AGAINST PUTINNEW


 
 
Last Updated
9/22/2025 at 11:21PM EST


 
 

Best International Feature

RankChange
1SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Norway)
2IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (France)
3THE SECRET AGENT (Brazil)
4NO OTHER CHOICE (South Korea)
5THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB (Tunisia)
6SIRÄ€T (Spain)
7THE PRESIDENT'S CAKE (Iraq)
8SOUND OF FALLING (Germany)â–² 1
9LEFT-HANDED GIRL (Taiwan)â–¼ 1
10THE LOVE THAT REMAINS (Iceland)


 
 
Last Updated
9/22/2025 at 11:21PM EST


 
 

Best Casting

RankChange
1Francine Maisler (SINNERS)
2Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu (WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY)
3Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
4Francine Maisler (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)â–² 1
5Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (JAY KELLY)â–¼ 1
6Cassandra Kulukundis (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
7Jennifer Venditti (MARTY SUPREME)
8Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
9Jessica Ronane (AFTER THE HUNT)
10Robin D. Cook (FRANKENSTEIN)


 
 
Last Updated
9/24/2025 at 12:06PM EST


 
 

Best Cinematography

RankChange
1SINNERS (Autumn Durald Arkapaw)
2HAMNET (Lukasz Zal)â–² 1
3FRANKENSTEIN (Dan Laustsen)â–¼ 1
4MARTY SUPREME (Darius Khondji)
5ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson, Michael Bauman)
6AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH (Russell Carpenter)
7TRAIN DREAMS (Adolpho Veloso)
8THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE (William Rexer)
9BUGONIA (Robbie Ryan)
10JAY KELLY (Linus Sandgren)


 
 
Last Updated
9/24/2025 at 12:06PM EST


 
 

Best Costume Design

RankChange
1WICKED: FOR GOOD
2FRANKENSTEIN
3HAMNET
4SINNERS
5MARTY SUPREME
6KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN
7HEDDAâ–² 1
8THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEEâ–¼ 1
9ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
10SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE


 
 
Last Updated
9/24/2025 at 12:06PM EST


 
 

Best Film Editing

RankChange
1MARTY SUPREME
2SINNERS
3ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
4SENTIMENTAL VALUE
5A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE
6NO OTHER CHOICE
7F1â–² 1
8WICKED: FOR GOODNEW
9AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
10JAY KELLY


 
 
Last Updated
9/24/2025 at 12:21PM EST


 
 

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

RankChange
1FRANKENSTEIN
2WICKED: FOR GOOD
3THE SMASHING MACHINE
4SINNERS
528 YEARS LATER
6WOLF MAN
7KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMANNEW
8BUGONIA
9THE WIZARD OF THE KREMLIN
10HAMNETâ–¼ 7


 
 
Last Updated
9/26/2025 at 2:51PM EST


 
 

Best Production Design

RankChange
1WICKED: FOR GOOD
2FRANKENSTEIN
3HAMNET
4SINNERS
5MARTY SUPREME
6AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
7THE PHOENICIAN SCHEME
8THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE
9ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHERNEW
10SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHEREâ–¼ 1


 
 
Last Updated
9/25/2025 at 3:06AM EST


 
 

Best Original Score

RankChange
1SINNERS (Ludwig Göransson)
2ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Jonny Greenwood)
3JAY KELLY (Nicholas Britell)
4HAMNET (Max Richter)
5FRANKENSTEIN (Alexandre Desplat)
6A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE (Volker Bertelmann)
7SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Hania Rani)
8THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE (Daniel Blumberg)â–² 1
9WICKED: FOR GOOD (John Powell, Stephen Schwartz)NEW
10HEDDA (Hildur Guðnadóttir)NEW


 
 
Last Updated
9/24/2025 at 12:21PM EST


 
 

Best Original Song

RankChange
1WICKED FOR GOOD ("No Place Like Home")
2SINNERS ("I Lied to You")
3KPOP DEMON HUNTERS ("Golden")
4DIANE WARREN: RELENTLESS ("Dear Me")
5THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE ("Clothed By The Sun")
6WICKED FOR GOOD ("The Girl in the Bubble")â–² 1
7SINNERS ("Last Time (I Seen the Sun)")â–² 2
8HIGHEST 2 LOWEST ("Highest 2 Lowest")â–¼ 2
9SINNERS ("Pale, Pale Moon")â–¼ 1
10MATERIALISTS ("My Baby (Got Nothing At All)")


 
 
Last Updated
9/24/2025 at 12:21PM EST


 
 

Best Sound

RankChange
1WICKED: FOR GOOD
2SINNERS
3AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
4F1
5SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE
6ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
7WARFAREâ–² 1
8FRANKENSTEINâ–¼ 1
9MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - FINAL RECKONING
10A HOUSE OF DYNAMITENEW


 
 
Last Updated
9/24/2025 at 12:21PM EST


 
 

Best Visual Effects

RankChange
1AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
2WICKED: FOR GOOD
3F1
4SUPERMAN
5TRON: ARES
6FRANKENSTEIN
7MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - THE FINAL RECKONING
8THE LOST BUSâ–² 1
9THE FANTASTIC FOUR: FIRST STEPSâ–¼ 1
10HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGONNEW


 
 
Last Updated
9/24/2025 at 12:21PM EST