Here are the NBP staff predictions for Best Actor. For an overview of all awards predictions, visit our Oscar Predictions page.
Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:
NBP Staff Picks
| Matt Neglia | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 4 |
| 3 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 1 |
| 4 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | ▼ 1 |
| 5 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 6 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | ▼ 2 |
| 7 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | |
| 8 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 9 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 10 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) |
Last Updated:
| 9/18/2025 10:50 AM |
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 3 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 4 | Hugh Jackman (SONG SUNG BLUE) | |
| 5 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | |
| 6 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 7 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | NEW |
| 8 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 9 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 10 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) |
Last Updated:
| 9/17/2025 1:50 PM |
| Alyssa Christian | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 2 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 3 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 4 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 5 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 6 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 7 | Brendan Fraser (RENTAL FAMILY) | |
| 8 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | |
| 9 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | NEW |
| 10 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) |
Last Updated:
| 9/21/2025 12:05 PM |
| Sara Clements | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 2 |
| 3 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 1 |
| 4 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | NEW |
| 5 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 6 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | ▲ 2 |
| 7 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | NEW |
| 8 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | ▲ 1 |
| 9 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▼ 3 |
| 10 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 7 |
Last Updated:
| 9/22/2025 11:21 PM |
| Nadia Dalimonte | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 7 |
| 3 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 4 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 2 |
| 5 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | |
| 6 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 7 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 8 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 9 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | NEW |
| 10 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | NEW |
Last Updated:
| 9/19/2025 1:05 PM |
| Cody Dericks | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 2 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 3 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 4 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 5 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | |
| 6 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 7 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 8 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | NEW |
| 9 | Lee Byung-hun (NO OTHER CHOICE) | |
| 10 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | ▼ 2 |
Last Updated:
| 9/18/2025 5:51 PM |
| Daniel Howat | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 3 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 4 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | ▲ 3 |
| 5 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 6 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▼ 2 |
| 7 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | ▲ 1 |
| 8 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | NEW |
| 9 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | NEW |
| 10 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) |
Last Updated:
| 9/17/2025 2:35 PM |
| Megan Lachinski | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 3 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 4 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 5 | Willem Dafoe (LATE FAME) | |
| 6 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 7 | Oscar Isaac (FRANKENSTEIN) | |
| 8 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 9 | Denzel Washington (HIGHEST 2 LOWEST) | |
| 10 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) |
Last Updated:
| Giovanni Lago | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▲ 1 |
| 3 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 1 |
| 4 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 5 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 6 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 2 |
| 7 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | ▲ 3 |
| 8 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | ▼ 1 |
| 9 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | NEW |
| 10 | Will Arnett (IS THIS THING ON?) | NEW |
Last Updated:
| 9/11/2025 10:06 PM |
| Will Mavity | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 6 |
| 2 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | ▼ 1 |
| 3 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 1 |
| 4 | Jesse Plemons (BUGONIA) | ▼ 1 |
| 5 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | ▼ 1 |
| 6 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 7 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | ▼ 2 |
| 8 | Brendan Fraser (RENTAL FAMILY) | |
| 9 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 10 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) |
Last Updated:
| 9/18/2025 10:21 AM |
| Tom O'Brien | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 7 |
| 3 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 1 |
| 4 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | ▲ 1 |
| 5 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 2 |
| 6 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 7 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | |
| 8 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | ▼ 4 |
| 9 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▼ 1 |
| 10 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) |
Last Updated:
| 9/19/2025 10:20 PM |
| Josh Parham | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 3 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 4 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 5 |
| 5 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 6 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 7 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | |
| 8 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 9 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | ▲ 1 |
| 10 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | NEW |
Last Updated:
| 9/17/2025 4:36 PM |
| Joselyn Safadi | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 3 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 4 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 5 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 6 | Matthew McConaughey (THE RIVALS OF AMZIAH KING) | |
| 7 | Oscar Isaac (FRANKENSTEIN) | |
| 8 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 9 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 10 | Denzel Washington (HIGHEST 2 LOWEST) |
Last Updated:
| Ema Sasic | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 3 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 4 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▲ 1 |
| 5 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | ▲ 4 |
| 6 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 7 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 8 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 9 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | NEW |
| 10 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | NEW |
Last Updated:
| 9/14/2025 11:51 AM |
