Oscar Predictions – Tom O’Brien

Here are Tom O’Brien’s 2025 Oscar Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 97th Annual Academy Awards.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:

Best Picture

Tom O'Brien
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHERâ–² 1
2SINNERSâ–¼ 1
3HAMNET
4SENTIMENTAL VALUE
5MARTY SUPREME
6WICKED: FOR GOOD
7SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE
8JAY KELLY
9A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE
10IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT

 
 

Last Updated:

9/22/2025 8:35 AM


 
 

Best Director

Tom O'Brien
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–² 1
2Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)â–¼ 1
3Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
4Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
5Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
6Kathryn Bigelow (A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE)
7Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)
8Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
9Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
10Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)

 
 

Last Updated:

9/22/2025 8:35 AM


 
 

Best Actress

Tom O'Brien
1Jessie Buckley (HAMNET)
2Renate Reinsve (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
3Julia Roberts (AFTER THE HUNT)
4Cynthia Erivo (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
5Amanda Seyfried (THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE)
6Rose Byrne (IF I HAD LEGS I'D KICK YOU)
7Tessa Thompson (HEDDA)
8Emma Stone (BUGONIA)NEW
9June Squibb (ELEANOR THE GREAT)â–¼ 1
10Jennifer Lawrence (DIE, MY LOVE)

 
 

Last Updated:

8/28/2025 9:51 AM


 
 

Best Actor

Tom O'Brien
1Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
2Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–² 7
3Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)â–¼ 1
4Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)â–² 1
5George Clooney (JAY KELLY)â–¼ 2
6Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)
7Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE)
8Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE)â–¼ 4
9Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)â–¼ 1
10Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS)

 
 

Last Updated:

9/19/2025 10:20 PM


 
 

Best Supporting Actress

Tom O'Brien
1Ariana Grande (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
2Emily Blunt (THE SMASHING MACHINE)
3Gwyneth Paltrow (MARTY SUPREME)
4Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
5Elle Fanning (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
6Teyana Taylor (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–² 3
7Zoey Deutch (NOUVELLE VAGUE)
8Kate Hudson (SONG SUNG BLUE)NEW
9Chase Infiniti (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)NEW
10Jennifer Lopez (KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN)

 
 

Last Updated:

9/19/2025 10:20 PM


 
 

Best Supporting Actor

Tom O'Brien
1Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
2Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY)
3Jeremy Strong (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)
4Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–² 3
5Paul Mescal (HAMNET)
6Delroy Lindo (SINNERS)â–² 2
7Stephen Graham (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)â–¼ 1
8Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN)NEW
9Andrew Garfield (AFTER THE HUNT)â–¼ 5
10Sean Bean (ANEMONE)NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

9/15/2025 4:06 PM


 
 

Best Adapted Screenplay

Tom O'Brien
1HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao)
2ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson)
3SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE (Scott Cooper)
4WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson)
5BUGONIA (Will Tracy)â–² 4
6NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar)
7TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar)
8WICKED: FOR GOOD (Dana Fox & Winnie Holzman)â–¼ 3
9THE SMASHING MACHINE (Benny Safdie)â–¼ 1
10FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro)NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

9/15/2025 4:21 PM


 
 

Best Original Screenplay

Tom O'Brien
1SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
2SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
3MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
4IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)
5JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)â–² 2
6A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE (Noah Oppenheim)
7RENTAL FAMILY (Stephen Blahut & Hikari)â–¼ 2
8SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)
9AFTER THE HUNT (Nora Garrett)
10THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE (Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold)

 
 

Last Updated:

9/15/2025 4:36 PM


 
 

Best Animated Feature

Tom O'Brien
1KPOP DEMON HUNTERS
2ZOOTOPIA 2â–² 1
3ARCOâ–² 1
4SCARLETâ–¼ 2
5NE ZHA 2â–² 1
6IN YOUR DREAMSâ–¼ 1
7ELIO
8LITTLE AMÉLIE OR THE CHARACTER OF RAIN
9THE BAD GUYS 2
10A MAGNIFICENT LIFE

 
 

Last Updated:

9/15/2025 4:36 PM


 
 

Best Documentary Feature

Tom O'Brien
1THE PERFECT NEIGHBOR
2COVER-UP
32000 METERS TO ANDRIIVKA
4PUT YOUR SOUL ON YOUR HAND AND WALKNEW
5THE ALABAMA SOLUTIONNEW
6APOCALYPSE IN THE TROPICSâ–¼ 2
7SEEDSâ–¼ 1
8ORWELL 2+2=5â–¼ 1
9THE LIBRARIANSâ–² 1
10LANDMARKSNEW

 
 

Last Updated:

9/28/2025 1:35 PM


 
 

Best International Feature

Tom O'Brien
1SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Norway)
2IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (France)
3NO OTHER CHOICE (South Korea)â–² 1
4THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB (Tunisia)â–² 1
5THE SECRET AGENT (Brazil)â–¼ 2
6THE LOVE THAT REMAINS (Iceland)
7SOUND OF FALLING (Germany)
8SIRÄ€T (Spain)
9THE PRESIDENT'S CAKE (Iraq)NEW
10PALESTINE 36 (Palestine)NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

9/19/2025 9:20 PM


 
 

Best Casting

Tom O'Brien
1Francine Maisler (SINNERS)
2Cassandra Kulukundis (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–² 6
3Francine Maisler (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)â–¼ 1
4Jennifer Venditti (MARTY SUPREME)â–¼ 1
5Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
6Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (JAY KELLY)â–¼ 2
7Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu (WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY)
8Robin D. Cook (FRANKENSTEIN)NEW
9Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
10Jessica Ronane (AFTER THE HUNT)

 
 

Last Updated:

9/28/2025 1:35 PM


 
 

Best Cinematography

Tom O'Brien
1SINNERS (Autumn Durald Arkapaw)
2HAMNET (Lukasz Zal)
3ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Michael Bauman)NEW
4FRANKENSTEIN (Dan Laustsen)
5AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH (Russell Carpenter)
6NOUVELLE VAGUE (David Chambille)
7JAY KELLY (Linus Sandgren)
8TRAIN DREAMS (Adolpho Veloso)
9MARTY SUPREME (Darius Khondji)
10F1 (Claudio Miranda)

 
 

Last Updated:

9/27/2025 11:50 AM


 
 

Best Costume Design

Tom O'Brien
1WICKED: FOR GOOD
2SINNERS
3FRANKENSTEIN
4KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN
5HAMNET
6THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE
7MARTY SUPREME
8SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE
9SNOW WHITE
10COUTURE

 
 

Last Updated:



 
 

Best Film Editing

Tom O'Brien
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHERâ–² 1
2SINNERSâ–¼ 1
3MARTY SUPREME
4A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE
5SENTIMENTAL VALUE
6NO OTHER CHOICE
7SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE
8F1
9JAY KELLY
10WICKED: FOR GOOD

 
 

Last Updated:

9/23/2025 11:20 PM


 
 

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Tom O'Brien
1FRANKENSTEIN
2WICKED: FOR GOOD
3SINNERS
4THE SMASHING MACHINE
528 YEARS LATER
6HEDDA
7BUGONIA
8WARFARE
9KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN
10SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE

 
 

Last Updated:



 
 

Best Production Design

Tom O'Brien
1WICKED: FOR GOOD
2FRANKENSTEIN
3SINNERSNEW
4HAMNET
5AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
6MARTY SUPREME
7THE PHOENICIAN SCHEME
8SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE
9THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE
10THE RUNNING MAN

 
 

Last Updated:

8/26/2025 12:21 PM


 
 

Best Original Score

Tom O'Brien
1SINNERS (Ludwig Göransson)
2ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Jonny Greenwood)â–² 1
3HAMNET (Max Richter)â–¼ 1
4A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE (Volker Bertelmann)
5JAY KELLY (Nicholas Britell)
6
7THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE (Daniel Blumberg)
8ANEMONE (Bobby Krlic)
9FRANKENSTEIN (Alexandre Desplat)
10WICKED: FOR GOOD (John Powell, Stephen Schwartz)

 
 

Last Updated:

9/23/2025 11:20 PM


 
 

Best Original Song

Tom O'Brien
1"No Place Like Home" (WICKED FOR GOOD)NEW
2"I Lied to You" (SINNERS)
3"Dear Me" (DIANE WARREN: RELENTLESS)
4"Golden" (KPOP DEMON HUNTERS)
5"Highest 2 Lowest" (HIGHEST 2 LOWEST)
6"Clothed By The Sun" (THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE)
7"The Girl in the Bubble" (WICKED FOR GOOD)NEW
8"Pale, Pale Moon" (SINNERS)
9"My Baby (Got Nothing At All)" (MATERIALISTS)
10"Give Your Love" (THE BALLAD OF WALLIS ISLAND)

 
 

Last Updated:

9/17/2025 1:21 PM


 
 

Best Sound

Tom O'Brien
1WICKED: FOR GOOD
2SINNERS
3F1
4AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
5ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHERNEW
6SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHEREâ–¼ 1
7FRANKENSTEINâ–¼ 1
8A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE
9WARFAREâ–¼ 2
10MARTY SUPREMENEW

 
 

Last Updated:

9/15/2025 3:21 PM


 
 

Best Visual Effects

Tom O'Brien
1AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
2WICKED: FOR GOOD
3SUPERMAN
4TRON: ARES
5FRANKENSTEIN
6THE FANTASTIC FOUR: FIRST STEPS
7F1
8HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON
9MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - THE FINAL RECKONING
10THE LOST BUS

 
 

Last Updated:



 
 

Best Animated Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

 
 

Last Updated:



 
 

Best Documentary Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

 
 

Last Updated:



 
 

Best Live Action Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

 
 

Last Updated: