By Daniel Howat
Going into this year's Oscar season, one of the big question marks was "Blade Runner 2049". It was hard to tell how much of a contender the film would really be. So now that "2049" is out in the world, where does it stand?
"Blade Runner 2049" received great reviews all around, and sits at an 88% on Rotten Tomatoes. It's widely seen as an excellent sequel, with a great deal of praise about the technical aspects of the film. Still, it didn't do very well at the box office, grossing $32.8 million in its first weekend, far below early estimates. For a film with a budget of $150 million, that's a pretty poor opening weekend.
Prior to its release, Oscar predictors had "2049" all over the map. Some had the film scoring some major above-the-line nominations in Best Picture and Director. Some had it sticking to just the technical categories, with key nominations in cinematography and production design. Would it be like "Mad Max: Fury Road" and "Gravity", or more like "Interstellar"? You should feel pretty secure in predicting "2049" for at least five of the technical categories. Roger Deakins will undeniably score a nomination for his incredible cinematography and has a very good shot a winning. He's seen as one of the best cinematographers of all time but has never won an Oscar. That narrative will likely push him toward a win, but he does have some competition. Visual Effects and Production Design are seen as likely nominations for "2049" as well and are also contending for the wins in their respective categories. Some remarkable sound work throughout the film should easily propel it to nominations in Sound Editing and Mixing too. Outside of those five, it gets a little trickier. Can it contend in Film Editing? It's possible, but the category mostly (But not exclusively) sticks to Best Picture nominees of which we are currently expecting "Blade Runner 2049" to miss. Best Score could happen, but it could easily be overshadowed by showier work including Hans Zimmer's own "Dunkirk." Any other technicals such as costume design and makeup, are simply not happening. So how about above-the-line? "2049" simply didn't make the splash that "Fury Road" or "Gravity" made. Both of those movies didn't just score Picture nominations, they were seen as genuine contenders to win. The Academy likely won't have the same reaction for the slow and deliberate "2049" as they did to those other films. A Best Picture nomination seems to be a long shot at this point, especially in such a competitive year. Because of the unique and visual nature of "2049," Best Director isn't quite as long of a shot as Picture, but still very unlikely. Adapted Screenplay (Despite being a weak year for the category) is most likely out of the running. Gosling gives one of his most unique performances, channeling his similar work in "Drive," to excellent effect but he and an emotionally committed Harrison Ford will have to sit this year out. Don't expect to see a slew of surprises on nomination morning. As much as some people love it, "Blade Runner 2049" didn't land nearly as strong as it needed to in order to be considered this year's "Mad Max: Fury Road." With stiff competition from "Dunkirk," "Darkest Hour" and "The Shape Of Water" in the technical categories along with other potential non-Best Picture nominees such as "War For The Planet Of The Apes," "Wonder Woman" "Baby Driver" and many others. There's very little chance any above-the-line nominations happen, but stick to the techs. Right now we predict it will easily walk in with five nominations for... Best Cinematography Best Production Design Best Sound Editing Best Sound Mixing Best Visual Effects Anything more would be a miracle at this point. But hey! At least it would be three more nominations than the original film received. So what do you think? Are we wrong in our predictions? Do you think "Blade Runner 2049" will contend elsewhere? Let us know in the comments below. You can follow Daniel and hear more of his thoughts on the Oscars and Film on Twitter at @howatdk
Comments
|
BEST PICTURE Roma (25) - AACTA, AWFJ, BAFTA, CC, CFCA, DFCS, KCFCC, LAFCA, LEJA, LFCC, LVFCS, MCFCA, NCFCA, NYFCC, NYFCO, OAFFC, OFCC, OFCS, PFCC, SEFCA, SFCS, SFFCC, TFCA, VFCS, WAFCA The Favourite (8) - AFCC, BIFA, FFCC, GALECA, HFCS, IFCA, KCFCC, PCC Green Book (8) - AARP, GG, NBR, NFCS, NTFCA, OSCAR, PFCS, PGA If Beale Street Could Talk (7) - AFCA, BSFC, CIFCC, COFCA, GWNYFCA, IPA, SPIRIT A Star Is Born (5) - DFCC, DFWFCA, GFCA, IPA, StLFCA Black Panther (4) - AAFCA, BFCC, CIFCC, SAG The Hate U Give (2) - IFJA, LAOFCS The Rider (2) - IFP, NSFC BlacKkKlansman - IPA Bohemian Rhapsody - GG Cold War - EFA Eighth Grade - DFCS Leave No Trace - SDFCS Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse - UFCA You Were Never Really Here - BOFCA BEST DIRECTOR Alfonso Cuaron (39) - AACTA, AFCC, AWFJ, BAFTA, CC, CFCA, COFCA, DFCC, DFCS, DFWFCA, DGA, FFCC, GALECA, GFCA, GG, HFCS, IFCA, IFJA, IPA, KCFCC, LEJA, LFCC, LVFCS, NCFCA, NSFC, NTFCA, NYFCC, NYFCO, OAFFC, OFCC, OFCS, OSCAR, PCC, PFCS, SEFCA, SFCS, TFCA, UFCA, WAFCA Spike Lee (6) - AARP, CIFCC, LAOFCS, NFCS, SFFCC, StLFCA Lynne Ramsey (5) - BOFCA, BSFC, LAOFCS, MCFCA, OAFFC Barry Jenkins (4) - AFCA, GWNYFCA, PFCC, SPIRIT Bo Burnham (2) - DGA, IFP Ryan Coogler (2) - AAFCA, BFCC Debra Granik (2) - LAFCA, SDFCS Bradley Cooper - NBR Yorgos Lanthimos - BIFA Adam McKay - DFCS Pawel Pawlikowski - EFA Paul Schrader - VFCS BEST ACTOR Ethan Hawke (34) - AFCA, AFCC, AWFJ, BOFCA, CFCA, CIFCC, DFCS, DFCS, GALECA, GFCA, GWNYFCA, IFJA, IFP, KCFCC, LAFCA, LFCC, LVFCS, NCFCA, NSFC, NYFCC, NYFCO, OFCC, OFCS, PCC, SEFCA, SDFCS, SFCS, SFFCC, SPIRIT, StLFCA, TFCA, UFCA, VFCS, WFCC Rami Malek (10) - AACTA, BAFTA, GG, IFCA, IPA, LAOFCS, OAFFC, OSCAR, NTFCA, SAG Christian Bale (8) - CC, DFWFCA, GG, HFCS, KCFCC, MCFCA, NFCS, PFCC Bradley Cooper (4) - BFCC, DFCC, LEJA, WAFCA Viggo Mortensen (3) - AARP, NBR, PFCS Joe Cole - BIFA Willem Dafoe - IPA Marcello Fonte - EFA Ben Foster - COFCA Joaquin Phoenix - FFCC John C. Reilly - BSFC John David Washington - AAFCA BEST ACTRESS Olivia Colman (25) - AACTA, AFCA, AFCC, AWFJ, BAFTA, BIFA, COFCA, DFCS, DFWFCA, GALECA, GG, IFCA, IPA, KCFCC, LAFCA, LFCC, MCFCA, NCFCA, NSFC, OAFFC, OSCAR, SEFCA, TFCA, VFCS, WFCC Toni Collette (13) - BOFCA, CFCA, DFCS, GFCA, HFCS, IFP, LAOFCS, NFCS, NTFCA, OFCS, SFCS, StLFCA, VFCS Glenn Close (7) - AARP, CC, GG, IPA, SAG, SDFCS, SPIRIT Lady Gaga (6) - CC, DFCC, LVFCS, NBR, PFCS, WAFCA Melissa McCarthy (6) - BSFC, FFCC, NYFCO, PCC, SFFCC, VFCS Yalitzia Aparicio (3) - GWNYFCA, LEJA, OFCC Regina Hall (3) - AAFCA, NYFCC, VFCS Viola Davis (2) - BFCC, PFCC Elsie Fisher (2) - CIFCC, UFCA Nicole Kidman - NFCS Joanna Kulig - EFA Amandla Stenberg - IFJA BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Richard E. Grant (24) - AARP, AFCA, AWFJ, BOFCA, BSFC, CFCA, CIFCC, COFCA, GALECA, IPA, KCFCC, LFCC, NFCS, NYFCC, NYFCO, OAFFC, PCC, PFCC, SEFCA, SDFCS, SFCS, SPIRIT, StLFCA, VFCS Mahershala Ali (16) - AACTA, BAFTA, BFCC, CC, DFCS, DFWFCA, GG, HFCS, IFCA, LAOFCS, LEJA, NTFCA, OSCAR, PFCS, SAG, WAFCA Sam Elliott (5) - AFCC, GFCA, IFJA, LVFCS, NBR Michael B. Jordan (5) - MCFCA, NCFCA, OFCC, OFCS, SFFCC Steven Yeun (5) - FFCC, GWNYFCA, LAFCA, NSFC, TFCA Russell Hornsby (3) - AAFCA, LAOFCS, UFCA Timothee Chalamet - SDFCS Hugh Grant - UFCA Josh Hamilton - DFCS Alessandro Nivola - BIFA BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Regina King (39) - AFCA, AAFCA, AWFJ, BFCC, BOFCA, BSFC, CC, CIFCC, COFCA, DFCS, DFWFCA, GALECA, GG, GWNYFCA, IFCA, IFJA, IPA, LAFCA, LAOFCS, LEJA, LVFCS, MCFCA, NBR, NCFCA, NSFC, NYFCC, NYFCO, OFCC, OFCS, OSCAR, PCC, PFCC, SEFCA, SFCS, SFFCC, SPIRIT, StLFCA, TFCA, WAFCA Rachel Weisz (8) - BAFTA, BIFA, DFCS, HFCS, NFCS, LFCC, OAFFC, VFCS Emma Stone (4) - AFCC, GFCA, NTFCA, PFCS Olivia Colman (2) - CFCA, UFCA Nicole Kidman (2) - AACTA, SDFCS Amy Adams - KCFCC Sakura Ando - FFCC Emily Blunt - SAG Judi Dench - AARP BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY BlacKkKlansman (12) - AAFCA, BAFTA, CIFCC, COFCA, DFCS, GFCA, KCFCC, OFCC, OSCAR, SEFCA, SFFCC, StLFCA Can You Ever Forgive Me? (10) - AARP, AWFJ, BSFC, FFCC, IPA, LAFCA, PFCS, SPIRIT, WAFCA, WGA If Beale Street Could Talk (10) - AFCA, BFCC, CC, CFCA, GWNYFCA, LEJA, NBR, NCFCA, OAFFC, OFCS The Hate U Give (3) - IFJA, LAOFCS, PFCC The Death Of Stalin (2) - NSFC, SDFCS Leave No Trace (2) - LVFCS, USC Black Panther - NFCS Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse - UFCA BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY The Favourite (19) - AACTA, AFCC, AWFJ, BAFTA, BIFA, DFWFCA, GALECA, HFCS, KCFCC, LFCC, NCFCA, NFCS, NYFCO, OAFFC, PCC, SEFCA, SFCS, TFCA, WAFCA First Reformed (12) - BOFCA, CC, CFCA, IFJA, IFP, NBR, NYFCC, OFCC, OFCS, SFFCC, TFCA, VFCS Eighth Grade (7) - CIFCC, COFCA, GFCA, SDFCS, SPIRIT, UFCA, WGA Sorry To Bother You (5) - AFCA, BFCC, FFCC, GWNYFCA, MCFCA Green Book (4) - DFCS, GG, OSCAR, PFCS Vice (3) - DFCS, LAOFCS, StLFCA A Quiet Place (2) - DFCS, LVFCS Roma (2) - IPA, LEJA Cold War - EFA BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY Roma (37) - AFCA, AFCC, AWFJ, BAFTA, BFCC, BOFCA, BSFC, CC, CFCA, CIFCC, COFCA, DFWFCA, GFCA, GWNYFCA, HFCS, LAFCA, LAOFCS, LEJA, LVFCS, MCFCA, NCFCA, NFCS, NSFC, NTFCA, NYFCC, NYFCO, OAFFC, OFCS, OSCAR, PFCC, PFCS, SEFCA, SFCS, SFFCC, StLFCA, UFCA, WAFCA Cold War (2) - ASC, FFCC The Ballad Of Buster Scruggs - SDFCS The Favourite - BIFA First Man - DFCC U-July 22 - EFA The Rider - SDFCS Suspiria - SPIRIT A Star Is Born - IPA BEST COSTUME DESIGN The Favourite (7) - BAFTA, BIFA, CDG, IPA, LVFCS, PFCS, SDFCS Black Panther (6) - CC, CDG, CIFCC, LEJA, OSCAR, SFCS Crazy Rich Asians - CDG Dogman - EFA BEST FILM EDITING Roma (7) - AWFJ, CFCA, CIFCC, IPA, LEJA, LVFCS, PFCS First Man (4) - AFCA, BSFC, CC, WAFCA Bohemian Rhapsody (2) - ACE, OSCAR Mission: Impossible - Fallout (2) - OFCS, SFCS Vice (2) - BAFTA, StLFCA Widows (2) - COFCA, MCFCA You Were Never Really Here (2) - BOFCA, SPIRIT American Animals - BIFA Cold War - EFA The Favourite - ACE Game Night - SDFCS If Beale Street Could Talk - GWNYFCA Minding The Gap - LAFCA The Other Side Of The Wind - SFFCC Searching - LAOFCS BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING Vice (3) - CC, MUAHS, OSCAR The Favourite (2) - BAFTA, BIFA Black Panther - LEJA Crazy Rich Asians - MUAHS Dogman - EFA Mary Queen of Scots - MUAHS A Star Is Born -MUAHS BEST ORIGINAL SCORE If Beale Street Could Talk (13) - BSFC, CFCA, CIFCC, COFCA, HFCS, IFCA, LAFCA, LAOFCS, LEJA, NYFCO, OFCS, PCC, WAFCA First Man (7) - AFCC, CC, FFCC, GFCA, GG, IPA, PFCS Black Panther (4) - DFCS, HMMA, MCFCA, OSCAR BlacKkKlansman (2) - SFFCC, StLFCA Isle Of Dogs (2) - DFWFCA, HMMA Mandy (2) - AFCA, SFCS Suspiria (2) - IFJA, LVFCS You Were Never Really Here (2) - BIFA, BOFCA Annihilation - UFCA Mary Queen Of Scots - HMMA BEST ORIGINAL SONG A Star Is Born (14) - CC, DFCS, GFCA, GG, HFCS, HMMA, IFCA, IPA, LAOFCS, LEJA, LVFCS, MCFCA, OSCAR, PFCS Black Panther (2) - AAFCA, HMMA RBG - HMMA Sherlock Gnomes - HMMA BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN The Favourite (11) - ADG, BAFTA, BIFA, CFCA, CIFCC, FFCC, GFCA, NFCS, PFCS, SDFCS, SFCS Black Panther (8) - ADG, CC, LAFCA, MCFCA, OSCAR, SFFCC, StLFCA, WAFCA Crazy Rich Asians - ADG Isle Of Dogs - LVFCS Mary Poppins Returns - IPA Roma - LEJA The Summer - EFA BEST SOUND MIXING Bohemian Rhapsody (3) - BAFTA, CAS, OSCAR The Captain - EFA First Man - MCFCA A Quiet Place - IPA Roma - LEJA You Were Never Really Here - BIFA BEST SOUND EDITING A Quiet Place (2) - IPA, MPSE Bohemian Rhapsody - OSCAR BEST VISUAL EFFECTS Black Panther (6) - BAFTA, CC, IPA, LEJA, NCFCA, PFCS Avengers: Infinity War (5) - DFCS, LAOFCS, NFCS, StLFCA, VES First Man (4) - CIFCC, HFCS, OSCAR, VES Ready Player One (2) - LVFCS, SDFCS Annihilation - FFCC Border - EFA Early Man - BIFA Mission: Impossible - Fallout - SFCS BEST ANIMATED FEATURE Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse (33) - AFCA, AAFCA, AWFJ, BAFTA, BFCC, BOFCA, CC, CFCA, CIFCC, COFCA, DFCS, DFCS, GFCA, GG, GWNYFCA, IFJA, KCFCC, LAFCA, LAOFCS, LEJA, MCFCA, NCFCA, NYFCC, NYFCO, OFCC, OFCS, OSCAR, PCC, PGA, SFCS, SFFCC, StLFCA, UFCA Isle Of Dogs (13) - BSFC, DFWFCA, HFCS, IPA, LVFCS, NFCS, NTFCA, OAFFC, PFCS, SEFCA, SDFCS, TFCA, WAFCA Incredibles 2 (3) - IFCA, NBR, PFCC Mirai - FFCC BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM Roma (41) - AAFCA, AARP, AFCC, AWFJ, BAFTA, BFCC, BOFCA, CC, CFCA, CIFCC, DFCS, DFWFCA, GALECA, GFCA, GG, GWNYFCA, HFCS, IFJA, IPA, KCFCC, LAOFCS, LEJA, LVFCS, MCFCA, NCFCA, NSFC, NTFCA, OFCC, OFCS, OSCAR, PCC, PFCC, PFCS, SEFCA, SFCS, SFFCC, SPIRIT, StLFCA, UFCA, VFCS, WAFCA Shoplifters (5) - BSFC, COFCA, FFCC, LAFCA, SDFCS Burning (4) - AFCA, GWNYFCA, LAFCA, TFCA Cold War (4) - LFCC, NBR, NYFCC, NYFCO BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE Won't You Be My Neighbor? (37) - AARP, AFCA, AFCC, AWFJ, BOFCA, BSFC, CC, DFCS, DFWFCA, GALECA, GFCA, HFCS, IFCA, IFJA, KCFCC, LAOFCS, LEJA, LVFCS, MCFCA, NCFCA, NFCS, NTFCA, NYFCO, OAFFC, OFCC, OFCS, PCC, PFCC, PFCS, PGA, SEFCA, SFFCC, SPIRIT, StLFCA, TFCA, UFCA, WAFCA Minding The Gap (8) - CFCA, CIFCC, GWNYFCA, IDA, IPA, NSFC, NYFCC, VFCS Free Solo (3) - BAFTA, OSCAR, SFCS Shirkers (3) - COFCA, FFCC, LAFCA Three Identical Strangers - (3) DFCC, DFCS, SDFCS Quincy (2) - AAFCA, BFCC Bergman - A Year In A Life - EFA Hale County This Morning, This Evening - IFP RBG - NBR AuthorsNicole Ackman Archives
March 2019
Categories
All
|
RSS Feed
|
Contact Us |
Subscribe To Our Newsletter |