By Matt Neglia
Best Original Song & Best Original Score at the Oscars are not as tied together in their wins as often as one would think. Only twice in the last 15 years have the two awards gone to the same film. It looks like we are heading for a year where the two awards will go to the same film and that film is a musical. How will it all shake down?
Click below for my in-depth analysis of the two categories.
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
One film has completely dominated the season when it comes to Best Original Score and that is Justin Hurwitz and his infectious score to "La La Land." Re-teaming with his longtime friend Damien Chazelle, Hurwitz created something spellbinding, joyful, heartbreaking and dare I say, iconic. It's pretty clear he's going to win this award in a walk. However, for argument's sake, here are the five nominees in this category, along with the wins they have gotten so far this awards season.
"La La Land" - AFCA, BAFTA, BFCA, COFCA, DFCS, DFWFCA, FFCC, GG, HFCS, HFCS, IFCA, LAFCA, LVFCS, NYFCO, PFCC, PFCS, StLFCA, UFCA, WAFCA
"Jackie" - BOFCA, BSFC, CFCS, IFJA, SFFCC
The big awards which Hurwitz has won have been BAFTA, Critics Choice Award & the Golden Globe. With this trifecta he's practically unstoppable. Sure, it will hurt to see Thomas Newman lose for the 14th time and there has been ONE TIME in the history where the Critics Choice, Golden Globe & BAFTA trifecta failed (John Williams won all three in 2005 for "Memoirs Of A Geisha" and went on to lose the Oscar to Gustavo Santaolalla for "Brokeback Mountain.") but for all intents and purposes, this race is a lock. Even if by some miracle "La La Land" were to lose Best Picture, I guarantee you it would still win this category.
As far as a runner up goes, I know that "Jackie" has the second most critics wins of the nominees but "Lion" has had such a groundswell in recent weeks that it seems like it's the number two in a lot of categories now.
PREDICTED WINNER: Justin Hurwitz - "La La Land"
RUNNER UP: Dustin O'Halloran & Hauschka - "Lion"
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
This race on the surface looks like it's a done deal as well, with Justin Hurwitz winning two Oscars on February 26th. One for Original Score and the other for Original Song, for writing "City Of Stars." While many would argue that it is not the best song in the movie filled with many others, "City Of Stars" has been somewhat anointed by the industry as the film's anthem. It has won the Critics Choice, Golden Globe as well as other critics awards. It's also the film which defines the Best Picture frontrunner that has a very passionate fan base.
The five nominees are:
The Empty Chair - "Jim: The James Foley Story"
Audition (The Fools Who Dream) - "La La Land"
City Of Stars - "La La Land"
How Far I'll Go - "Moana"
Can't Stop The Feeling - "Trolls"
There are those who think that "How Far I'll Go" has a chance considering the immense popularity of Lin-Manuel Miranda. Also, "Can't Stop The Feeling" just recently won a Grammy and is a huge hit for Justin Timberlake. The comparisons below though will show that this category is pretty much locked up.
The Critics Choice Awards started handing out awards for Best Original Song in 1998. Let's take a look at how the winners for that and the Golden Globes have done at the Oscars.
So as you can see, the Critics Choice have matched with the Oscars 7 times while the Golden Globes have matched up within that time period, an equal 7 times. 3 of those 7 times, has one song won all three. One thing is for sure though and that is that not a single film that won both awards and has been nominated for the Oscar has lost, the notable exception being 2008's "The Wrestler" which was not nominated. It worked for "The Weary Kind," "Skyfall," and "Glory." It will work for "City Of Stars." Lin-Manuel Miranda has not won a single award all season except for a tie from the Hawaii Film Critics Society along with...you guessed it, "La La Land." While I'm still a bit hesitant on this one due to "City Of Stars" possibly splitting votes with "Audition," I'm about as close to the word lock as you could possibly imagine.
PREDICTED WINNER: City Of Stars - "La La Land"
RUNNER UP: How Far I'll Go - "Moana"
What are your predictions for these two Oscar categories? Be sure to let me know in the comments down below.
You can follow Matt and hear more of his thoughts on the Oscars and Film on Twitter at @NextBestPicture
Nomadland (17) - AWFJ, BOFCA, BSFC, CFCA, CIC, GOTHAM, GWNYFCA, HFCS, IFJA, KCFCC, NDFS, NSFC, OFCS, SFBAFCC, StLFCA, TIFF, VENICE
Promising Young Woman (5) - COFCA, KCFCC, MCFCA, SCA, SDFCS
First Cow (2) - FFCC, NYFCC
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom (3) - BFCC, CIC, PFCC
Minari (2) - NCFCA, OFCC
The Trial Of The Chicago 7 (2) - DFCS, HFCS
Another Round - EFA
Da 5 Bloods - CIC
Small Axe - LAFCA
Chloé Zhao (24) - AWFJ, BOFCA, BFCC, BSFC, CFCA, COFCA, DFCS, FFCC, GWNYFCA, HFCS, IFJA, KCFCC, LAFCA, MSFCA, NCFCA, NDFS, NSFC, NYFCC, OFCC, OFCS, PFCC, SDFCS, SFBAFCC, StLFCA
Spike Lee (2) - CIC, HFCS
Regina King - BFCC
Darius Marder - SCA
Andrew Patterson - GOTHAM
Thomas Vinterberg - EFA
Frances McDormand (13) - AWFJ, BOFCA, CFCA, FFCC, GWNYFCA, HFCS, IFJA, NCFCA, NDFS, NSFC, OFCC, OFCS, SFBAFCC
Carey Mulligan (8) - COFCA, DFCS, HFCS, KCFCC, LAFCA, MCFCA, SCA, SDFCS, StLFCA
Viola Davis (3) - BFCC, CIC, PFCC
Sidney Flanigan (2) - BSFC, NYFCC
Paula Beer - EFA
Nicole Beharie - GOTHAM
Riz Ahmed (9) - COFCA, GOTHAM, GWNYFCA, HFCS, KCFCC, NDFS, OFCC, SCA, SDFCS
Chadwick Boseman (9) - AWFJ, BFCC, CFCA, CIC, DFCS, LAFCA, MSFCA, SFBAFCC, StLFCA
Delroy Lindo (8) - BOFCA, HFCS, IFJA, NCFCA, NSFC, NYFCC, OFCS, PFCC
Anthony Hopkins (2) - BSFC, FFCC
Mads Mikkelsen - EFA
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Youn Yuh-jung (14) - AWFJ, BFCC, BSFC, COFCA, GWNYFCA, KCFCC, LAFCA, MCFCA, NCFCA, OFCC, SCA, SDFCS, SFBAFCC, StLFCA
Maria Bakalaova (11) - BOFCA, CFCA, CIC, FFCC, HFCS, IFJA, MCFCA, NDFS, NSFC, NYFCC, OFCS
Ellen Burstyn - DFCS
Olivia Cooke - HFCS
Amanda Seyfried - PFCC
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Paul Raci (13) - BOFCA, BSFC, CFCA, COFCA, FFCC, GWNYFCA, HFCS, NSFC, OFCC, SCA, SDFCS, SFBAFCC, StLFCA
Leslie Odom Jr. (6) - AWFJ, BFCC, HFCS, IFJA, KCFCC, OFCS
Sacha Baron Cohen (4) - DFCS, MCFCA, NCFCA, NDFS
Chadwick Boseman (3) - CIC, NYFCC, PFCC
Glynn Turman - LAFCA
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Nomadland (10) - AWFJ, CFCA, COFCA, GWNYFCA, HFCS, IFJA, KCFCC, NCFCA, OFCC, OFCS
I'm Thinking Of Ending Things (4) - BOFCA, BSFC, FFCC, StLFCA
First Cow (3) - DFCS, PFCC, SFBAFCC
The Father (2) - SCA, SDFCS
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom (2) - BFCC, CIC
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Promising Young Woman (10) - AWFJ, CIC, COFCA, HFCS, KCFCC, LAFCA, NDFS, OFCC, OFCS, StLFCA
Minari (5) - BFCC, FFCC, NCFCA, SDFCS, SFBAFCC
Never, Rarely, Sometimes, Always (5) - CFCA, GWNYFCA, IFJA, NSFC, NYFCC
The Trial Of The Chicago 7 (4) - CIC, DFCS, HFCS, MCFCA
Another Round - EFA
The Forty-Year-Old-Version - GOTHAM
Fourteen - GOTHAM
Nomadland (16) - AWFJ, BOFCA, BSFC, CFCA, CIC, COFCA, GWNYFCA, HFCS, MCFCA, NCFCA, NDFS, NSFC, OFCS, PFCC, SDFCS, StLFCA
Mank (3) - FFCC, OFCC, SCA
Small Axe (2) - LAFCA, NYFCC
Tenet (2) - BFCC, HFCS
First Cow - SFBAFCC
Hidden Away - EFA
The Vast Of Night - KCFCC
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Emma. (2) - CFCA, SDFCS
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom (2) - CIC, HFCS
Hidden Away - EFA
BEST FILM EDITING
Nomadland (7) - AWFJ, BOFCA, GWNYFCA, NDFS, OFCS, SFBAFCC, StLFCA
The Trial Of The Chicago 7 (4) - CIC, COFCA, HFCS, MCFCA
I'm Thinking Of Ending Things (2) - BSFC, CFCA
The Invisible Man (2) - MCFCA, SDFCS
The Father - LAFCA
Once More Unto The Breach - EFA
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
The Endless Trench - EFA
Mank - HFCS
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom - CIC
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Soul (14) - BOFCA, CFCA, CIC, COFCA, DFCS, FFCC, GWNYFCA, HFCS, LAFCA, NCFCA, OFCC, OFCS, SFBAFCC, StLFCA
Tenet (3) - IFJA, MCFCA, SCA
Mank (2) - HFCS, NDFS
Berlin Alexanderplatz - EFA
Minari - BSFC
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
One Night In Miami (5) - CIC, DFCS, HFCS, HFCS, MCFCA
Over The Moon - NDFS
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Mank (9) - CFCA, CIC, FFCC, HFCS, LAFCA, MCFCA, NDFS, SDFCS, StLFCA
First Cow - SFBAFCC
The Personal History Of David Copperfield - EFA
Little Girl - EFA
Sound Of Metal - HFCS
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Tenet (6) - DFCS, HFCS, HFCS, NCFCA, SDFCS, StLFCA
The Invisible Man (2) - CFCA, CIC
The Platform - EFA
Possessor - FFCC
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Soul (16) - AWFJ, BFCC, CCA, CIC, DFCS, FFCC, HFCS, IFJA, MSFCA, NCFCA, NDFS, OFCC, OFCS, PFCC, SFBAFCC, StLFCA
Wolfwalkers (8) - BOFCA, CFCA, COFCA, GWNYFCA, KCFCC, LAFCA, NYFCC, SDFCS
Josep - EFA
The Wolf House - BSFC
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM
Another Round (9) - AWFJ, CFCA, EFA, IFJA, KCFCC, MCFCA, NCFCA, SFBAFCC, StLFCA
Minari (4) - COFCA, DFCS, GWNYFCA, OFCS
Bacurau (2) - BOFCA, NYFCC
The Life Ahead (2) - HFCS, SDFCS
And Then We Danced - NDFS
A Sun - HFCS
Beanpole - LAFCA
Collective - NSFC
His House - CIC
Identifying Features - GOTHAM
Jumbo - PFCC
La Llorona - BSFC
Los Fuertes - FFCC
Martin Eden - OFCC
Night Of The Kings - BFCC
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Time (7) - BFCC, GOTHAM, GWNYFCA, LAFCA, NYFCC, PFCC, SDFCS
Dick Johnson Is Dead (6) - CCA, CFCA, COFCA, IFJA, NCFCA, OFCS
Collective (4) - BSFC, EFA, SFBAFCC, StLFCA
Boys State (3) - CIC, DFCS, OFCC
All In: The Fight For Democracy (2) - AWFJ, NDFS
The Painter And The Thief (2) - AWFJ, BOFCA
Beastie Boys Story - HFCS
Crip Camp - IDA
The Dissident - KCFCC
My Octopus Teacher - HFCS
The Social Dilemma - MCFCA
A Thousand Cuts - GOTHAM
You Don't Nomi - FFCC