By Matt Neglia
We have heard from the Golden Globes, the Critics Choice Awards and now tomorrow, we will hear from the Screen Actor's Guild. One of the best predictors for the acting categories at the Oscars, the over 100,000 large membership can bring about an unexpected surprise (last year's Denzel Washington for "Roman J. Israel, Esq.") or solidify a fringe contender (Woody Harrelson last year for "Three Billboards Outside Edding, Missouri"). What surprises will they throw us this year? Who will be left out? Click below to see our predictions.
Predictions provided by: Myself, Cody Dericks, Daniel Howat, Josh Parham, Michael Schwartz, Ryan C. Showers, Tom O'Brien & Will Mavity
Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture The Favourite (ALL) Crazy Rich Asians (ALL) Black Panther (Cody, Daniel, Ryan, Tom & Will) A Star Is Born (Cody, Daniel, Tom & Will) Vice (Cody, Matt, Michael & Tom) If Beale Street Could Talk (Daniel, Matt & Michael) BlacKkKlansman (Josh & Ryan) Green Book (Josh & Michael) Roma (Josh, Matt & Will) Widows (Ryan) Best Male Actor In A Leading Role Bradley Cooper - A Star Is Born (ALL) Viggo Mortensen - Green Book (ALL) Christian Bale - Vice (Cody, Daniel, Josh, Matt, Michael, Tom & Will) Rami Malek - Bohemian Rhapsody (Cody, Daniel, Josh, Matt, Ryan, Tom & Will) Ethan Hawke - First Reformed (Cody, Daniel, Josh, Matt, Tom & Will) John David Washington - BlacKkKlansman (Ryan) Lucas Hedges - Boy Erased (Ryan) Robert Redford - The Old Man & The Gun (Michael) Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role Glenn Close - The Wife (ALL) Olivia Colman - The Favourite (ALL) Lady Gaga - A Star Is Born (ALL) Melissa McCarthy - Can You Ever Forgive Me? (Cody, Josh, Matt, Michael, Ryan, Tom & Will) Emily Blunt - Mary Poppins Returns (Cody, Josh, Michael & Will) Toni Collette - Hereditary (Daniel, Matt & Tom) Viola Davis - Widows (Ryan) Nicole Kidman - Destroyer (Daniel) Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role Mahershala Ali - Green Book (ALL) Richard E. Grant - Can You Ever Forgive Me? (ALL) Adam Driver - BlacKkKlansman (Cody, Josh, Matt, Michael, Ryan, Tom & Will) Sam Elliott - A Star Is Born (Cody, Daniel, Josh, Matt, Michael, Ryan & Tom) Timothee Chalamet - Beautiful Boy (Cody, Daniel, Michael, Ryan & Will) Michael B. Jordan - Black Panther (Matt, Tom & Will) Nicholas Hoult - The Favourite (Daniel & Josh) Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role Regina King - If Beale Street Could Talk (ALL) Emma Stone - The Favourite (ALL) Rachel Weisz - The Favourite (ALL) Amy Adams - Vice (Cody, Daniel, Josh, Matt, Michael, Tom & Will) Claire Foy - First Man (Cody, Matt & Michael) Michelle Yeoh - Crazy Rich Asians (Josh, Ryan & Tom) Thomasin McKenzie - Leave No Trace (Daniel & Will) Nicole Kidman - Boy Erased (Ryan) Outstanding Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture Black Panther (Cody, Daniel, Josh, Matt, Michael, Tom & Will) Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Cody, Daniel, Josh, Matt, Michael, Tom & Will) Avengers: Infinity War (Cody, Daniel, Josh, Matt, Tom & Will) First Man (Cody, Daniel, Josh, Matt, Tom & Will) A Quiet Place (Cody, Matt, Michael & Will) Bohemian Rhapsody (Daniel & Michael) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Michael & Tom) Mary Poppins Returns (Josh)
And, if you're still unsure about who to predict, here are the contenders who have landed at both Critics Choice & Golden Globes so far...
Best Picture (For Ensemble) BlacKkKlansman Black Panther The Favourite Green Book If Beale Street Could Talk Mary Poppins Returns A Star Is Born Vice Best Actor Christian Bale - Vice Bradley Cooper - A Star Is Born Willem Dafoe - At Eternity’s Gate Rami Malek - Bohemian Rhapsody Viggo Mortensen - Green Book Best Actress Emily Blunt - Mary Poppins Returns Glenn Close - The Wife Olivia Colman - The Favourite Lady Gaga - A Star Is Born Melissa McCarthy - Can You Ever Forgive Me? Best Supporting Actor Mahershala Ali - Green Book Timothée Chalamet - Beautiful Boy Adam Driver - BlacKkKlansman Richard E. Grant - Can You Ever Forgive Me? Best Supporting Actress Amy Adams - Vice Claire Foy - First Man Regina King - If Beale Street Could Talk Emma Stone - The Favourite Rachel Weisz - The Favourite And if you want to hear any commentary for our SAG Predictions, listen to our latest episode of the Next Best Picture Podcast below starting at 56:15 So what do you think? Who are you predicting to receive SAG nominations tomorrow? Let us know in the comments section below. The Screen Actors Guild Awards Nominations will be announced tomorrow morning at 10am EST/7am PT. The nominations announcement will be carried live on TNT, TBS, truTV, tntdrama.com/sag-awards, truTV.com and sagawards.org at 10 a.m. (ET) / 7 a.m. (PT). They can also be viewed via TNT’s Facebook, Twitter and YouTube channels and TBS’s Facebook, Twitter @tbsnetwork and YouTube channels. You can follow Matt and hear more of his thoughts on the Oscars and Film on Twitter at @NextBestPicture
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BEST PICTURE Parasite (30) - AACTA, AFCA, AFCC, AWFJ, BOFCA, CFCA, CIC, COFCA, DFCS, GALECA, GFCA, HFCS, LAFCA, LEJA, LFCC, NCFCA, NSFC, NYFCO, OAFFC, OFCS, OFTA, OSCAR, PCC, SAG, SEFCA, SFCS, TFCA, UFCA, VFCC, WAFCA Once Upon A Time In Hollywood (10) - CCA, GG, HFCS, IFCA, IPA, LVFCS, NDFS, OFCC, SFBAFCC, StLFCA 1917 (8) - BAFTA, DFCS, DFWFCA, GG, HCA, KCFCC, MCFCA, PGA The Irishman (5) - AARP, NBR, NTFCA, NYFCC, SDFCS Marriage Story (5) - DFCC, GWNYFCA, IFJA, IFP, NFCS Knives Out (2) - CIC, PFCC Portrait Of A Lady On Fire (2) - FFCC, WFCC Dolemite Is My Name - BFCC The Farewell - SPIRIT Ford v Ferrari - IPA For Sama - BIFA Harriet - WFCC Joker - PFCS Little Women - BSFC Us - AAFCA BEST DIRECTOR Bong Joon-ho (30) - AFCA, AFCC, AWFJ, BOFCA, BSFC, CCA, CFCA, CIC, COFCA, GALECA, GFCA, GWNYFCA, HFCS, IFJA, LAFCA, LEJA, LFCC, NCFCA, NDFS, NYFCO, OAFFC, OFCS, OFTA, OSCAR, PCC, SFBAFCC, SFCS, TFCA, VFCC, WAFCA Sam Mendes (11) - BAFTA, CCA, DFCS, DFWFCA, DGA, GG, KCFCC, MCFCA, NTFCA, PFCS, UFCA Martin Scorsese (7) - AARP, BFCC, DFCC, DFCS, OFCC, PFCC, SEFCA Quentin Tarantino (6) - AACTA, HFCS, IFCA, LVFCS, NBR, StLFCA Josh & Benny Safdie (3) - NYFCC, SDFCS, SPIRIT Noah Baumbach (2) - HCA, NFCS Greta Gerwig (2) - CIC, NSFC Laure de Clermont-Tonnerre - IFP Kassi Lemmons - BFCC James Mangold - IPA Jordan Peele - AAFCA Celine Sciamma - FFCC Olivia Wilde - HCA Waad al-Kateab & Edward Watts - BIFA BEST ACTOR Adam Driver (31) - AACTA, AFCC, AWFJ, CFCA, CIC, COFCA, DFCC, DFCS, DFWFCA, FFCC, GFCA, GWNYFCA, HFCS, IFJA, IFP, KCFCC, NCFCA, NFCS, OAFFC, OFCS, OFTA, PCC, PFCC, SDFCS, SEFCA, SFCS, TFCA, UFCA, VFCC, WAFCA, WFCC Joaquin Phoenix (17) - BAFTA, CCA, DFCS, GG, HCA, HFCS, IFCA, LEJA, LFCC, MCFCA, NDFS, NTFCA, NYFCO, OSCAR, PFCS, SAG, SDFCS Adam Sandler (9) - AARP, AFCA, BOFCA, BSFC, LVFCS, NBR, OFCC, SPIRIT, StLFCA Antonio Banderas (6) - EFA, GALECA, LAFCA, NSFC, NYFCC, SFBAFCC Taron Egerton (2) - GG, IPA Eddie Murphy (2) - AAFCA, BFCC Christian Bale - IPA Josh O'Connor - BIFA BEST ACTRESS Lupita Nyong'o (28) - AFCA, AAFCA, AWFJ, BFCC, BOFCA, CFCA, CIC, COFCA, FFCC, GFCA, HCA, IFJA, KCFCC, LAFCA, MCFCA, NCFCA, NYFCC, NYFCO, OFCC, OFCS, OFTA, PCC, SDFCS, SFBAFCC, SFCS, TFCA, WAFCA, WFCC Renée Zellweger (17) - AARP, AFCC, BAFTA, BIFA, CCA, GALECA, GG, HFCS, IFCA, LFCC, LVFCS, NBR, OSCAR, PFCS, SAG, SEFCA, SPIRIT Scarlett Johansson (12) - DFCC, DFCS, DFCS, DFWFCA, FFCC, GWNYFCA, IPA, NFCS, OAFCC, StLFCA, UFCA, VFCC Awkwafina (5) - GG, HFCS, IFP, IPA, LEJA Mary Kay Place (2) - LAFCA, NSFC Saoirse Ronan (2) - AACTA, BSFC Charlize Theron (2) - NFCS, NTFCA Cynthia Erivo - WFCC Florence Pugh - NDFS BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Brad Pitt (36) - AACTA, AFCA, AFCC, AWFJ, BAFTA, BFCC, BOFCA, BSFC, CCA, CFCA, DFCS, DFWFCA, GG, HFCS, HFCS, IFCA, LEJA, MCFCA, NBR, NCFCA, NSFC, OFCC, OFCS, OFTA, OSCAR, PFCC, PFCS, SAG, SDFCS, SEFCA, SFBAFCC, StLFCA, TFCA, VFCC, WAFCA Joe Pesci (13) - DFCS, FFCC, GFCA, GWNYFCA, HCA, KCFCC, LFCC, NFCS, NYFCC, NYFCO, PFCC, SDFCS, UFCA Willem Dafoe (7) - COFCA, IFJA, IPA, LVFCS, NDFS, SFCS, SPIRIT Song Kang-ho (4) - CIC, GALECA, LAFCA, PCC Tom Hanks (2) - AARP, NTFCA Jamie Foxx - AAFCA Shia LaBeouf - OAFCC Hugh Laurie - BIFA BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Laura Dern (23) - AARP, AFCC, BAFTA, BSFC, CCA, DFCS, DFCS, DFWFCA, FFCC, GG, HFCS, IFCA, LFCC, NDFS, NSFC, NYFCC, NYFCO, OSCAR, PFCS, SAG, SEFCA, TFCA, VFCC Jennifer Lopez (15) - AFCA, GALECA, HCA, IFJA, IPA, LAFCA, LEJA, NFCS, OAFFC, OFCC, OFCS, OFTA, SFBAFCC, SFCS, WAFCA Florence Pugh (11) - AWFJ, BOFCA, CFCA, COFCA, DFCS, GFCA, GWNYFCA, LAFCA, MCFCA, NCFCA, UFCA Zhao Shuzhen (5) - CIC, HFCS, NTFCA, SDFCS, SPIRIT Da'Vine Joy Randolph (3) - AAFCA, BFCC, KCFCC Margot Robbie (3) - AACTA, LVFCS, StLFCA Kathy Bates - NBR Ruthxjiah Bellenea - BIFA Thomasin McKenzie - PCC BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Little Women (17) - AFCA, AWFJ, BOFCA, CCA, CIC, COFCA, DFCS, FFCC, IFJA, KCFCC, LEJA, NCFCA, OFTA, UFCA, USC, WAFCA, WFCC The Irishman (10) - BFCC, GFCA, GWNYFCA, HFCS, NBR, OFCC, OFCS, SEFCA, StLFCA, TFCA Jojo Rabbit (9) - AACTA, BAFTA, HCA, NFCS, OAFFC, OSCAR, PFCS, SFBAFCC, WGA Joker - IPA Luce - SDFCS The Personal History Of David Copperfield - BIFA The Two Popes - LVFCS BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Parasite (23) - AFCA, AAFCA, AFCC, AWFJ, BAFTA, CFCA, COFCA, GALECA, GFCA, HCA, LEJA, MCFCA, NCFCA, NSFC, NYFCO, OFCS, OFTA, OSCAR, SEFCA, SFBAFCC, SFCS, UFCA, WGA Marriage Story (16) - AARP, DFCC, DFCS, DFWFCA, GWNYFCA, IFJA, IFP, IPA, LAFCA, LFCC, OAFFC, SDFCS, SPIRIT, StLFCA, VFCC, WAFCA Once Upon A Time In Hollywood (10) - BOFCA, BSFC, CCA, GG, HFCS, LVFCS, NDFS, NFCS, NYFCC, StLFCA Knives Out (8) - CIC, DFCS, HFCS, KCFCC, OFCC, PCC, PFCC, PFCS Uncut Gems (2) - FFCC, NBR Portrait Of A Lady On Fire - EFA Queen & Slim - BFCC BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY 1917 (37) - AFCA, AFCC, ASC, AWFJ, BAFTA, BFCC, CCA, CFCA, CIC, COFCA, DFWFCA, FFCC, GFCA, HCA, HFCS, HFCS, IPA, KCFCC, LEJA, LVFCS, MCFCA, NCFCA, NFCS, NTFCA, NYFCO, OAFFC, OFCS, OFTA, OSCAR, PCC, PFCS, SEFCA, SFBAFCC, SFCS, StLFCA, UFCA, WAFCA Portrait Of A Lady On Fire (5) - BSFC, GWNYFCA, LAFCA, NSFC, NYFCC The Lighthouse (4) - NDFS, PFCC, SDFCS, SPIRIT Once Upon A Time In Hollywood (2) - BOFCA, OFCC Ad Astra - DFCC Beats - BIFA BEST COSTUME DESIGN Dolemite Is My Name (8) - CCA, CIC, IPA, LEJA, LVFCS, OFTA, SDFCS, SFCS Little Women (3) - BAFTA, CFCA, OSCAR Rocketman (3) - HCA, HFCS, PFCS Jojo Rabbit - CDGA Knives Out - CDGA Maleficent: Mistress Of Evil - CDGA The Personal History Of David Copperfield - BIFA BEST FILM EDITING Ford v Ferrari (7) - BAFTA, IPA, LVFCS, OSCAR, SDFCS, SFBAFCC, WAFCA 1917 (5) - CCA, CIC, HCA, MCFCA, PFCS The Irishman (4) - AWFJ, BOFCA, BSFC, CFCA Parasite (4) - ACE, LEJA, OFCS, OFTA Uncut Gems (4) - AFCA, GWNYFCA, SFCS, SPIRIT Apollo 11 (3) - ACE, LAFCA, UFCA Once Upon A Time In Hollywood (2) - HFCS, StLFCA For Sama - BIFA Jojo Rabbit - ACE Knives Out - COFCA The Lighthouse - NDFS Toy Story 4 - ACE BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING Bombshell (8) - BAFTA, CCA, CIC, HCA, LEJA, MUAHS, OFTA, OSCAR Joker (2) - HFCS, MUAHS Downton Abbey - MUAHS The Personal History Of David Copperfield - BIFA BEST ORIGINAL SCORE Joker (12) - BAFTA, CCA, DFCS, GFCA, GG, HCA, HFCS, IPA, LVFCS, NDFS, OSCAR, PCC 1917 (10) - AFCA, AFCC, DFWFCA, HFCS, IFCA, LEJA, MCFCA, OFTA, PFCS, StLFCA Us (5) - CIC, COFCA, IFJA, OFCS, WAFCA Uncut Gems (4) - BOFCA, FFCC, OFCC, SFCS Little Women (2) - BSFC, CFCA Apollo 11 - UFCA I Lost My Body - LAFCA The Last Black Man In San Francisco - SFBAFCC Marriage Story - GWNYFCA BEST ORIGINAL SONG Rocketman (8) - CCA, GG, HFCS, IPA, LEJA, MCFCA, OFTA, OSCAR Wild Rose (7) - BIFA, CCA, DFCS, GFCA, HCA, HFCS, NDFS Always Be My Maybe - CIC Frozen II - PFCS Harriet - LVFCS Toy Story 4 - IFCA BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN Once Upon A Time In Hollywood (14) - ADG, CCA, CFCA, FFCC, LAFCA, LVFCS, MCFCA, NDFS, NFCS, OSCAR, SFBAFCC, SFCS, StLFCA, WAFCA 1917 (5) - BAFTA, GFCA, LEJA, PFCS, SDFCS Parasite (3) - ADG, HFCS, OFTA Avengers: Endgame - ADG Knives Out - CIC Motherless Brooklyn - IPA The Personal History Of David Copperfield - BIFA BEST SOUND EDITING 1917 (5) - BAFTA, LEJA, MCFCA, MPSE, OFTA Ford v Ferrari (4) - HFCS, IPA, MPSE, OSCAR BEST SOUND MIXING 1917 (5) - BAFTA, LEJA, MCFCA, OFTA, OSCAR Ford v Ferrari (3) - CAS, HFCS, IPA Beats - BIFA Toy Story 4 - CAS BEST VISUAL EFFECTS Avengers: Endgame (9) - CCA, HCA, LEJA, LVFCS, NCFCA, NFCS, OFTA, PFCS, StLFCA 1917 (5) - BAFTA, CIC, DFCS, HFCS, OSCAR Ad Astra (3) - CFCA, SDFCS, SFCS Alita: Battle Angel (3) - FFCC, HFCS, IPA The Irishman - VES The Lion King - VES BEST ANIMATED FEATURE Toy Story 4 (32) - AFCC, BOFCA, CCA, CFCA, COFCA, DFCS, DFCS, DFWFCA, GFCA, GWNYFCA, HCA, HFCS, HFCS, IFCA, KCFCC, LEJA, MCFCA, NCFCA, NFCS, NTFCA, OAFFC, OFCC, OFCS, OFTA, OSCAR, PCC, PFCC, PFCS, SEFCA, SFCS, StLFCA, WAFCA I Lost My Body (13) - AFCA, AWFJ, BFCC, BSFC, CIC, FFCC, LAFCA, NDFS, NYFCC, NYFCO, SDFCS, SFBAFCC, UFCA Missing Link (3) - GG, LVFCS, TFCA Klaus (2) - ANNIE, BAFTA How To Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World (2) - IFJA, NBR Abominable - AAFCA The Lion King - IPA BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM Parasite (49) - AFCA, AAFCA, AFCC, AWFJ, BAFTA, BFCC, BIFA, BOFCA, BSFC, CCA, CFCA, CIC, COFCA, DFCS, DFWFCA, GALECA, GFCA, GG, GWNYFCA, HCA, HFCS, HFCS, IFJA, KCFCC, LEJA, LVFCS, MCFCA, NBR, NCFCA, NDFS, NTFCA, NYFCC, OFCC, OFCS, OFTA, OSCAR, PCC, PFCC, PFCS, SDFCS, SEFCA, SFBAFCC, SFCS, SPIRIT, StLFCA, TFCA, UFCA, VFCC, WAFCA Portrait Of A Lady On Fire (4) - FFCC, LFCC, NYFCO, WFCC Pain and Glory (2) - AARP, LAFCA Truth and Justice - IPA BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE Apollo 11 (36) - AFCA, AFCC, AWFJ, BOFCA, CCA, CFCA, CIC, COFCA, DFCC, DFCS, DFWFCA, FFCC, GFCA, GWNYFCA, HCA, HFCS, HFCS, IFCA, KCFCC, LVFCS, MCFCA, NCFCA, NFCS, NTFCA, NYFCO, OAFFC, OFCS, OFTA, PCC, PFCC, SEFCA, SFBAFCC, SFCS, StLFCA, UFCA, WAFCA Honeyland (7) - BSFC, DFCS, GALECA, NDFS, NSFC, NYFCC, VFCC American Factory (6) - IFP, LAFCA, OFCC, OSCAR, SPIRIT, TFCA For Sama (6) - BAFTA, BIFA, EFA, IDA, IFJA, LFCC One Child Nation (2) - PFCS, SDFCS 63 Up - IPA Amazing Grace - KCFCC The Black Godfather - AAFCA Knock Down The House - LEJA Linda Ronstadt: The Sound of My Voice - AARP Maiden - NBR Toni Morrison: The Pieces I Am - BFCC AuthorsNicole Ackman Archives
September 2020
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